Published On:Thursday 22 December 2011
Posted by Muhammad Atif Saeed
Payback Method
Payback is defined by CIMA as 'The time required for the cash inflows from a capital investment project to equal the initial cash outflow(s)'.
Pay Back Method overview
- The payback period is the time it takes for a project's net cash inflows to equal the initial cash investment.
- The payback period is often used as an initial screening process.
- If a project's payback period is shorter than a defined maximum period then the project should be evaluated further using a more sophisticated project appraisal technique.
- A major disadvantage is that the timing of cash flows within the payback period are ignored and therefore no account is taken of the time value of money.
Advantages of the payback method:
The use of the payback method does have advantages, especially as an initial screening device.
- A long payback means capital is tied up
- Focus on early payback can enhance liquidity
- Investment risk is increased if payback is longer
- Shorter-term forecasts are likely to be more reliable
- The calculation is quick and simple
- Payback is an easily understood concept
Disadvantages of the payback method:
There are a number of serious drawbacks to the payback method.
- It ignores the timing of cash flows within the payback period.
- It also ignores the cash flows after the end of the payback period and therefore the total project return.
- It ignores the time value of money (a concept incorporated into more sophisticated appraisal methods). This means that it does not take account of the fact that £1 today is worth more than £1 in one year's time. This is because an investor who has £1 today can either consume it immediately or alternatively can invest it at the prevailing interest rate, say 10%, to get a return of £1.10 in a year's time.
There are also other disadvantages.
- The method is unable to distinguish between projects with the same payback period.
- The choice of any cut-off payback period by an organization is arbitrary.
- It may lead to excessive investment in short-term projects.